The Maverick (R-S-A-D)

Contrarian founder energy; thinks hard, then goes all-in alone.

You out-think the room, then out-bet your own evidence.

First-principles down to the bedrock, then all-in alone against every expert in the field. You out-think the room and you move before it's finished arguing — reusable rockets, betting your last dollar when the consensus said you were insane. The conviction is earned; the analysis is real. And then you out-bet your own evidence. Your blind spot is Illusion of Control married to Survivorship Bias: because your improbable bets have hit, you read your survival as proof the method always works, and you over-trust your agency over outcomes the world actually controls. So the next bet gets bigger and the stress-testing gets thinner — the acquisition that didn't need to happen, the 'next year' that's been next year for years. You're not wrong that you're brilliant. You're wrong that brilliance is a force field, and the bet that finally bites will be the one you were surest you'd already won.

Signature blind spot: Illusion of Control